Seminário UFSCar/USP - What was he trying to do? Our (plausible) story behind Thomas Bayes's infamous theorem - Palestrante: Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar)

  • O quê Agenda
  • Quando 17/07/2020 de 14h00 para 16h00 (America/Sao_Paulo / UTC-300)
  • Onde Google Meet
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Seminário do Programa Interinstitucional de Pós-Graduação em Estatística - PIPGEs
UFSCar/USP

Data e Horário:
17/07/2020 às 14h

Local:
Google Meet - Link da apresentação será disponibilizado até uma hora antes da palestra em www.pipges.ufscar.br (link externo).

Título:
What was he trying to do? Our (plausible) story behind Thomas Bayes's infamous theorem

Palestrante:
Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar)

Resumo:
On December 22, 1763, John Canton, a physicist and school master, read a paper about probability before the Royal Society of London. The author was a clergyman that had died more than two years before, and the paper was found among his notes by a common friend, a Welsh minister named Richard Price. But how did this priest came up with those ideas of ``inverse probability''? Why he tried his hand on the problem? Those questions were our main motivations. Our (tentative) answers teach us important lessons even for modern scientists.

Autores:
Márcio A. Diniz (UFSCar) and David R. Bellhouse (Univ. of Western Ontario)